Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? Odds fell to 4% on Jul 19, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? On , the market’s odds fell from 14.5¢ to 4¢ (-10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from afp. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match14.5¢
+5m14.5¢
+30m13.5¢
+1h4¢
1h move-10.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 19, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 13.5¢ → 3.5¢-10 ptsafter a signal from sparegions
  • 14.5¢ → 1.9¢-12.6 ptsafter a signal from Iran State News Agency

What moved the odds?

Neutralafp97%match
Defending champions Argentina and Spain were locked at 0-0 at half-time in the World Cup final. The European champions shaded possession at the MetLife Stadium in a game of few clear-cut chances.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1.9M

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Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.