Argentina to win the second half? Odds fell to 9% on Jul 15, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Argentina to win the second half? On , the market’s odds fell from 28.5¢ to 8.5¢ (-20 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 15, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 25.5¢ → 100¢+74.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN
- 9.5¢ → 100¢+90.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN
- 99.5¢ → 50¢-49.4 ptsafter a signal from News
- 99.5¢ → 50¢-49.4 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media - MOD
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from Jordanian Media
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from n12news
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from afp.com
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from newsdig.tbs.co.jp
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from ft.com
- 100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Argentina to win the second half? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for England vs. Argentina - Second Half Result — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.