Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina? Odds jumped to 50% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina? On , the market’s odds jumped from 0.1¢ to 50¢ (+50 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran State News Agency. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match0.1¢
+5m0.1¢
+30m50¢
+1h50¢
1h move+50 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 15, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 0.1¢ → 50¢+50 ptsafter a signal from sparegions

What moved the odds?

NoIran State News Agency95%match
#WorldCup Argentina's flight to the World Cup final; Three Lions lose in glorious comeback Argentina 2 1England @IRNA_1313

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$2.0M

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Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for England vs. Argentina - Exact Score — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.