Spread: Argentina (-1.5) — odds fell to 3% on Jul 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Spread: Argentina (-1.5) — on , the market’s odds fell from 14.5¢ to 2.5¢ (-12 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from news.sky.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match14.5¢
+5m14.5¢
+30m5¢
+1h2.5¢
1h move-12 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Nonews.sky.com99%match
Live: Argentina behind at the break

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put Egypt at 0%, as of .

Egypt0¢
Argentina100¢

Vol$4.8M

Follow this market

Spread: Argentina (-1.5) — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.