Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder? Odds jumped to 99% on Sep 1, 2026

OpenMove

Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder? On , the market’s odds jumped from 33¢ to 99¢ (+66 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from apnews.com.

How did the odds move?

At match33¢
+5m33¢
+30m33¢
+1h99¢
1h move+66 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 1, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 33¢ → 99.1¢+66.1 ptsafter a signal from apnews.com
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from foxnews
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from cbsnews.com
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from cnn.com
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from bbc.com
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
  • 33¢ → 99.2¢+66.2 ptsafter a signal from news.sky.com
  • 33¢ → 99.5¢+66.5 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 33¢ → 99.5¢+66.5 ptsafter a signal from apnews.com
  • 33¢ → 99.5¢+66.5 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Neutralapnews.com94%match
[UPDATE] Jury reaches a verdict in less than 3 hours at the trial over the 1996 killing of Tupac Shakur (first reported at 2026-08-31T04:06:14Z)
Neutralapnews.com94%match
[UPDATE] Live updates: Jury reaches verdict in less than 3 hours at trial over 1996 killing of Tupac Shakur (first reported at 2026-08-31T15:40:37Z)

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$1K

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Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.