Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by December 31? Odds jumped to 63% on Aug 3, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by December 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 48.5¢ to 62.5¢ (+14 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 3, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 48.5¢ → 62.5¢+14 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 50.5¢ → 62.5¢+12 ptsafter a signal from iranintlbrk
- 62.5¢ → 50¢-12.5 ptsafter a signal from afp.com
- 62.5¢ → 50¢-12.5 ptsafter a signal from afp.com
- 74¢ → 90.5¢+16.5 ptsafter a signal from Cloudflare
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by December 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Cuba nationwide internet/power outage — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.