Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31? Odds jumped to 62% on Aug 3, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 52.5¢ to 61.5¢ (+9 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 4-source news cluster, from alarabiya. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match52.5¢
+5m52.5¢
+30m52.5¢
+1h61.5¢
1h move+9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 3, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 52.5¢ → 60.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from alarabiya
  • 52.5¢ → 60.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from alarabiya_bn
  • 87¢ → 95¢+8 ptsafter a signal from Cloudflare

What moved the odds?

Part of a 4-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yesalarabiya97%match
A nationwide power outage in Cuba
YesAl Arabiya97%match
A nationwide power outage in Cuba
Yesalarabiya97%match
A nationwide power outage in Cuba
Yesalarabiya_bn97%match
A nationwide power outage in Cuba

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$5K

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Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Cuba nationwide internet/power outage — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.