Spain/USA vs. France/Germany — odds fell to 73% on Sep 13, 2026
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Spain/USA vs. France/Germany — on , the market’s odds fell from 83.6¢ to 72.6¢ (-11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from afp.com.
How did the odds move?
83.6¢
77.5¢
76.3¢
72.6¢
-11 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Yesafp.com94%match
Spain beat Germany to claim women's World Cup bronze
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 77% chance that this market resolves Spain/USA, as of .
Spain/USA77¢
France/Germany23¢
$88K
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Spain/USA vs. France/Germany — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.