USA vs. France — odds fell to 73% on Sep 13, 2026

ResolvedMove

USA vs. France — on , the market’s odds fell from 83.6¢ to 72.6¢ (-11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from afp.com. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match83.6¢
+5m77.5¢
+30m76.3¢
+1h72.6¢
1h move-11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesafp.com94%match
Spain beat Germany to claim women's World Cup bronze

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put USA at 100%, as of .

USA100¢
France0¢

Vol$212K

Follow this market

USA vs. France — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.