Amazon 2026 capex above $220B? Odds fell to 26% on Jul 30, 2026
Open
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B? On , the market’s odds fell from 43¢ to 26¢ (-17 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters.
How did the odds move?
43¢
44¢
26¢
26¢
59¢
-17 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 30, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 32.5¢ → 41¢+8.5 ptsafter a signal from zerohedge
- 32¢ → 41¢+9 ptsafter a signal from faststocknewss
- 26¢ → 44.5¢+18.5 ptsafter a signal from cnbc
What moved the odds?
NoReuters97%match
Amazon CEO - 2026 Capex Plans Unchanged About $200 Billion - Conf. Call
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 48% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES48¢
NO52¢
$2K
Follow this market
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Amazon 2026 capex above ___? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.